WIRE — For citation, please use: Royce, D.P., 2026. Measuring U.S. Decline. Russia in Global Affairs, 24(3), pp. 116–140. DOI: 10.31278/1810-6374-2026-24-3-116-140 The dominant narrative of the Russian government—and within Russian analysis—alleges fading U.S. hegemony, and 'Western' decline relative to other centers of power. However, one sometimes detects an element of uncertainty in these claims, often in

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